On the eery predictability of YC startup valuations

  1. It’s a mega hits driven business. The top 10 YC companies drive about 75% of the value of the entire YC portfolio of 2000+ startups
  2. Top 5% YC startups create massive value. The average valuation of the top 100 YC startups today is about $1.5B², and if we assume an average seed stage valuation for these companies of $7–8M, that’s a 200x difference.
  3. Silicon Valley dominates. 9 of the top 10 (and 18 of the top 20) startups are based in the San Francisco Bay Area.

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Tech guy and investor. Founder at Rebel Fund and previously Pioneer Fund. Chairman of Infosurv and CrowdMed (YC W13). Former Bain consultant. Data nerd.

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Jared Heyman

Jared Heyman

787 Followers

Tech guy and investor. Founder at Rebel Fund and previously Pioneer Fund. Chairman of Infosurv and CrowdMed (YC W13). Former Bain consultant. Data nerd.